An area of high pressure is forecast to give unusually mild and dry conditions for the bulk of the UK this week. The 1035mb area of high pressure centred over the South of the UK will draw up air from the Mediterranean. The warmth will peak on Friday and Saturday, with temperatures of 18C (64f), forecast across parts of Southern England.
Thursday: A rather gloomy morning for the North with light, but patchy rain, interspersed with sunny spells for Eastern Scotland and NE England. Sunny skies ever present for the South, however during the day cloud amounts will increase. The North will suffer from anticyclonic gloom, and at times light rain; this heavy for Western Scotland. Winds will be a very notable feature of the day, more so for Northern areas, here gusts of 50mph, 80kmh are likely on the Coast and on high ground. Temperatures similar to today, at around 14-16C for the South, 11-13 for the North.
Friday: Any patchy light rain sinking South into Northern England and becoming a non existent feature of the day. High pressure becoming increasingly dominant, meaning much lighter winds than Thursday. Stubborn cloud will keep temperatures buried in single figures for the North. For much of England and Wales, temperatures will climb to around 16 or 17C, 62F. With lights winds, it should feel pleasant.
Saturday: Clear skies promises a colder morning for most. With sunny spells persisting. Mild or very warm. 18 or 19C (65f) is possible for Southern areas. Winds remaining light which will mean another chilly night, with a rural frost in some Northern parts of England on Sunday.
Sunday: Brisker Westerly winds bringing increases cloud amounts for Western fringes of England, Wales and Ireland. However inland, good lengthy sunny spells are forecast, more so East of the Pennines however they will form elsewhere, to give temperatures that are warmer than the seasonal average. Winds remaining light or very light, adding to the "warm feel"
Nothing scary about the weather. Perfect weather for the evening, light winds and feeling mid, reflective of the very mild dry, calm day. However, it will be a gloomier day for most.
1st November to 3rd of November:
It will remain mild for the South of the UK. However there is some evidence that the North of the UK will see a decline in temperatures with frosts making a return. Sunny spells still in the outlook for the South, however cloud and Coastal showers will affect Northern areas. Central areas will see a mixture of the two, sunny with light rain showers from time to time
4th of November to 8th of November:
The weather may turn notably more unsettled with areas of moderate rain and windier conditions than expected in the short term outlook, however the conditions will not be disruptive. Temperatures will take a dive due to the lack of sunshine meaning a chilly and perhaps less dry bonfire, however there is a risk that the air mass will take a sudden drop in temperature, making conditions feel raw at times.
9th November to 16th of November:
Confidence in the long range outlook diminishes. However with high pressure staying close by, don't expect any overly wet conditions. With low pressure to the NE, winds could come from a North Westerly direction, meaning temperatures return to the seasonal average, or dip a little below, giving a risk of night frosts.