Incredibly Grim Forecast for the School Holidays, however signs are that September will be good.

The weather outlook for the next few days is grim. Spells of wet and windy weather off the Atlantic with temps a bit below average..

Storm Risk UKThere’s a risk of thunderstorms on Sunday. Check out that risk with this orange link.

The area of low pressure will be pretty relentless at throwing up weather fronts next week – meaning more strong winds and at times heavy rain, the risk of flooding is noted across some western facing slopes. It will slowly turn drier and brighter from the south by say Friday (4th) of next week, and that warmth could spread further north through the following week commencing the 7th of August..

 

 

There are weak signals from the long range computer models that conditions will finally become a little drier and settled as we head into the second week of August.

High pressure from western Spain will have an attempt of establishing itself across the British Isles, in which case conditions would become quite widely drier across the central and southern parts, however there is a chance that Scotland and Northern Ireland will continue to see more Autumnal weather.

So in summary:

Cool with showers or longer spells of rain through the weekend and through much of next week.

Risk of thunderstorms across central areas on Sunday…

By Friday 4th of August it will steadily turn drier and warmer in the South.

From Monday 7th of August the improving conditions should spread northwards into central areas, however Scotland and Northern Ireland will probably keep that Autumnal feel.

It’s been a notable pattern over the last few years in that more unsettled, changeable and notably cooler weather commences at the end of July and last through the UK’s 6-7 week holiday time. The change in the weather is thought to be a “mini Autumn”, the jet stream becomes stronger through the August as day time highs decrease across the pole yet the peak of the heat is still prevalent across equatorial regions, meaning the temperature gradient is enhanced and the jet stream, which brings “stormy” (wet and windy) weather to the British Isles, is stronger.