Election Day Weather Update: Wintry in places

Most places will start the day at or below freezing and with a ground frost. Perhaps as cold as -4C in parts of Scotland.

Whilst most places will begin dry (and crisp), the south west will become increasingly wet and this wet weather will spread east through the day. Most places will see fairly hefty outbreaks of rain, with strong winds. At times these outbreaks of rain may produce hail or sleet, particularly on high ground. Temperatures will be much colder in the north; cold enough for this precipitation to fall as snow for the Scottish uplands in particular. These are your forecast highs for tomorrow (via Meteociel), generally around 2-5C in the North, 6-8C in the South, cold, and feeling it in the wind and rain. 

So a cold, wet and miserable day, perfect for any election!

Another showery day on Friday, however temperatures will be falling into Saturday. Nothing very cold, but do expect chillier conditions. With that comes a risk of some overnight frosts, and some wintry showers in the North. These showers may fall as snow above 300 metres with significant accumulations across the Highlands of Scotland, and possibly higher parts of Northern Ireland. 

Further south conditions will generally be dry, with a mixture of sunshine and showers. It will be cold here to, with daytime highs of around 3 to 5 degreesC on both Saturday and Sunday. Winds will be quite strong to – adding to the cold feel. The showers here, however, may merge at times to form longer spells of rain. Where this occurs, there’s also the chance of some wintry precipitation (sleet / snow). At the moment parts of the Midlands and Northern England look most at risk from this wintry precipitation, which may produce 1-3cm of snow across elevated areas such as the Peak District and Welsh hills. This bodes especially true for Saturday, which is the day we’re keeping a close eye on for the potential of some hill snow (and possibly, not definitely, even to lower levels). 



Following analysis of this risk, we’ve released this weekend snow-risk Summary (map) below. Be aware that the risk is only low. However, there’s the risk of some travel and transport disruption in these areas. We’ll be able to give more definite details on this risk by Friday – so stay tuned. 

 

Due to the colder temperatures in place this weekend, there’s also a risk of some icy patches, especially on untreated roads and surfaces. Temperatures may drop to around -3C in some rural areas on both Friday and Saturday night, especially so in the North.

Hundreds of birds drop dead onto Road in Wales

Passers-by were left shocked this morning after finding hundreds of birds laying dead on a road in Llyn Llywenan, a village in Anglesey, North Wales. Some were found in trees, on fields and on the road. It is estimated that several hundreds (300-400) birds died.

Photographic credit: Hannah Stevens.

“Mass” bird-falls (i.e. several hundred birds dying at once) are not uncommon in the UK. Several happen every year. For this particular event, it is feared that the birds could have been poisoned. However, it’s possible that turbulent weather could have shocked the bird’s systems. For example, a sudden burst of very cold air or a freak gust of wind can ice / jolt birds respectively, and as the weather’s pretty turbulent right now it is possible that this is responsible.



Other causes are possible, such as crashes with aircraft.  Industrial activity, i.e. ground clearing and demolishing of buildings, can also produce strong atmospheric sound waves that can shock birds in-flight. What ever the cause, this would be quite distressing to encounter. 

If you’ve seen similar in other parts of the country, please let us know or send your photos in. 



Risk of Snow for parts of the UK this weekend

Temperatures are set to drop off this weekend. Nothing very cold, but do expect chillier conditions. With that comes a risk of some overnight frosts, and some wintry showers in the North. These showers may fall as snow above 300 metres with significant accumulations across the Highlands of Scotland, and possibly higher parts of Northern Ireland. 

Further south conditions will generally be dry, with a mixture of sunshine and showers. It will be cold here to, with daytime highs of around 3 to 5 degreesC on both Saturday and Sunday. Winds will be quite strong to – adding to the cold feel. The showers here, however, may merge at times to form longer spells of rain. Where this occurs, there’s also the chance of some wintry precipitation (sleet / snow). At the moment parts of the Midlands and Northern England look most at risk from this wintry precipitation, which may produce 1-3cm of snow across elevated areas such as the Peak District and Welsh hills. This bodes especially true for Saturday, which is the day we’re keeping a close eye on for the potential of some hill snow (and possibly, not definitely, even to lower levels). 



Following analysis of this risk, we’ve released this weekend snow-risk Summary (map) below. Be aware that the risk is only low. However, there’s the risk of some travel and transport disruption in these areas. We’ll be able to give more definite details on this risk by Friday – so stay tuned. 

 

Due to the colder temperatures in place this weekend, there’s also a risk of some icy patches, especially on untreated roads and surfaces. Temperatures may drop to around -3C in some rural areas on both Friday and Saturday night, especially so in the North.

Free Uber Rides and Eats for NHS staff this Christmas

Uber have decided to offer all NHS staff 2 x £10 vouchers for either uber rides or uber eats this Christmas. The offer is valid from the 23rd to the 27th of December 2019.

If you are a member of staff at the NHS, all you need is your official NHS email and you can register for the offer. Use This Link to head over to the Uber website and sign up.

Merry Christmas!



UK Weather Outlook – Any Sign of Snow?

For at least another week or so, the jet stream is forecast to remain broadly in-situ over the UK and aligned from the South West to North East. This means that we’re likely to see a continued feed of westerly winds, bringing in a mixture of wind, rain, and near-normal temperatures for at least another week. Of course beyond next week, anything could happen, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it will.

Image below: forecast position of the jet stream next Friday (13th December), however largely representative of much of the week ahead. As you can see, it’s drawn out from across the Atlantic and into the UK. = MILD.

No Snow, but Stormy. And starting tonight.

This means that whilst snow might not be an issue (apart from maybe some Northern Hills), wind and rain will be.⚠️ In fact, some very stormy conditions are forecast tonight across south western parts of England ⚠️.

This wind forecast map (below), also from Meteociel, shows that wind gusts of 80mph are possible during the early hours of Monday morning across Devon and Cornwall, indicated by the purple and pink colors. That’s strong enough to disrupt travel, and possibly produce some power outages and structural damage in places. Be aware of this during your Monday morning travel. 

Next Week

Once the windy weather clears, things will turn (briefly) calmer on Monday afternoon and most areas should see some brightness. However, the remainder of the week is looking largely unsettled, wet, not particularly cold or mild, either! Just the usual Atlantic onslaught. A continued risk of gales, however the one saving grace is that the associated rain fronts will tend to move through quite quickly due to stronger winds, thus rainfall accumulations might not be so high. This is a good thing for those that have been affected by flooding recently.



Cold for Christmas?

I understand that many of you will be beginning to think about the Christmas period, and whether or not it will be cold. Most of us would like a white one! Whilst it’s too far out to give any reasonably accurate indication as to what the weather might do over Christmas, it’s possible that by this stage the jet stream could become a little weaker, bringing us (possibly) some more festive, colder conditions. This doesn’t guarantee snow, however, as often in the UK it can be “chilly”, at say 3-4C, which is still a little too high to see snowfall. 



Snow-Storm to target the North: possibly east next week

The GFS and ECMWF computer models continue to toy with the idea of a moderate snowfall mid next-week across the eastern side of the U.S. The GFS, in particular, is simulating around 2-4″ of snow widely from Arkansas, through Tennesse, and into West Virginia and parts of the East Coast from moderate snowfalls on Tuesday (10th December 2019). The GFS then continues to extend snowfall eastwards on Wednesday with some moderate snowfalls along the east coast, with 5-6″ in New Jersey and 5-6″ in NYC. Of course, these are just computer simulations, and are likely to change between now and then.

This map (via Pivotalweather.com) gives an indication as to where the snowfall may be – it’s a rather fine line which makes this a bit of a tricky forecast. Nontheless, areas in a line from Arkansas to NYC are at risk (no more than a risk at this stage) from some significant snow accumulations next Tuesday through to Thursday. 

This area could shift 100 miles to the west and sudden most places that were due snow are due rain – that is ultimately why there’s so much uncertainty. Stay tuned. 

Notice, also, the large area of snowfall over the far north of the country. That’s thanks to a separate system altogether. This system is expected to affect the very far north of the states from Monday and into Tuesday, producing heavy outbreaks of snow and perhaps up to 20 inches of snow in places! Some parts of Northern Wisconsin and Central Minnesota could see 12-16″ from this storm; widely between 6 and 12 inches from Montana through to Quebec. Some strong winds are possible with this storm (not overly strong, but 30-40mph in gusts), therefore some temporary blizzard-like conditions are possible especially on high ground. The risk of drifting snow can’t be ruled out either. Notice also, the purple area over Quebec, indicating that up to 20-25″ of snow could fall in places here in the next couple of days. 



This storm will then clear out of the way by Tuesday, however by then the next system will begin to build in across central parts of the states, initially with heavy-rain for Texas, but potentially moderate (albeit wet) outbreaks of snow from the Appalachians and towards the East Coast. As mentioned, this system is proving difficult to pin down, so exact details are far from certain at this stage. We’ll know for definite by late Monday, which ares are likely to be affected from this next snow storm.