Risk of Heavy & Significant Snowfall following Storm Bella

Good evening. Storm Bella is currently producing very high winds across much of the UK. Gusts of 80mph+ have already been recorded across exposed parts of Ireland and Wales, with gusts between 50 and 60mph inland. These values will spread south east through the remainder of the night, so most places inland will see winds between 50 and 70mph and coastal areas, especially southern and western coasts seeing gusts well over 70mph locally. This means there will likely be some significant travel disruption early Sunday across southern and south western parts of Britain.

During Sunday morning there will also be heavy rain, this pushing south east and introducing a colder polar maritime airmass. This will result in some moderate snow over the Peak District & Pennines early on Sunday, this amounting to 2-5cm locally. Elsewhere turning dry on Sunday. Later on Sunday snow showers will pack into Western Scotland, Northern Ireland & North West England with wintry showers in North Wales producing scattered accumulations of 2-5cm however up to 20cm for the Scottish Highlands & Yorkshire Dales. Elsewhere turning dry.




On Sunday night into Monday there is a risk of significant & disruptive snow for central parts of the UK, this including the Pennines, the Midlands & potentially parts of southern England however uncertainty is rather high for these more southern areas. Certainly for parts of the Midlands & Pennines there is a risk (not certainty) of 5-10cm locally with up to 15cm over high ground. Even here however, there is some considerable uncertainty to the forecast so interests should closely watch the guidance for further updates.

The following risk map highlights the areas most at risk from the snowfall.