Maxima of 36C possible from next week’s heatwave

A very warm week of weather is ahead for many parts of the British Isles – however more especially in the south east.

Here is where concerns are growing over the potential for some very hot weather, unusually so. The culprit is, unsurprisingly, a widespread heatwave which will be engulfing much of western Europe next week. On both Tuesday and Wednesday temperatures look to hit 30-32C in south eastern England, however by Thursday there is a chance, albeit quite slim, but one worth noting, of temperatures reaching 35 or 36C on Thursday afternoon.

Confidence is fairly low on Thursday’s very hot 36C – which will put the all time UK July temperature record under threat – however confidence is very high on reaching 30-32C in the south east on Tuesday and Wednesday. This map shows how hot it could get in the south and east on Thursday – GFS model:

So in general, expect muggy nights and high day time temperatures through next week, especially from Tuesday to Thursday. Although there will still be some warmth in the north west (Scotland and Northern Ireland), these areas will be more prone to day to day changes in temperature, as there will be some weather fronts bringing some cloud and rain from time to time, so as a result Scotland and Northern Ireland will be significantly cooler compared to elsewhere. However, Tuesday looks like it could be the best day for the north west, with temperatures of 25 or 26C in parts of Scotland.

Thunderstorms – there is also a risk of thunderstorms next week. As temperatures cool down on Thursday, and into Friday, there could be an outbreak, but it is too early to say where. Equally on Tuesday night into Wednesday, some thunderstorms are likely in the west, parts of the Irish Sea, North West England and Wales at risk at this point.

In the south east, the heat looks rather stifling, hitting 30C+ for many days, with that possibility of Thursday seeing highs of 36C, as it is still 5 days away, meteorologically confidence is still rather low, at only 20-30%, but the risk is there. Stay tuned for more updates!