UK Rainfall Warning: Risk of flooding in the next 24-48 hours

Some places run the risk of surface / river flooding in the next 24 to 48 hours. All thanks to a weather front, the same one that brought some areas thunderstorms yesterday.

This weather front is expected to make advancements west in the next 12 hours or so, bringing bursts of heavy rain, mostly across central and eastern England, particularly through the Pennines, and up into parts of Southern Scotland by Saturday night/ Sunday.

Widely 1 to 2 inches will fall (20-50mm) across central and eastern areas, however in some areas, locally, up to 90mm may fall, and this poses a real risk of flooding. The Met Office also have a yellow weather warning, covering much of the country this weekend.

Our risk map can be seen below, and outlines, in orange, the areas highest at risk, these include parts of Kent, but more widely and with fairly high confidence, the Pennine chain, running from Derbyshire through West Yorkshire, North Yorkshire, Eastern Cumbria and into parts of Southern Scotland, here is where rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches (50-100mm) are possible by Monday.

Widely across England, it will be quite a damp weekend. Rainfall is expected to get going tomorrow for more south eastern parts of England, before becoming more concentrated across Northern England on Saturday night / Sunday, perhaps also affecting eastern and northern parts of Northern Ireland.

There is the risk of river flooding, due to the longevity of the rain which poses a risk to river catchments, putting them under pressure. Not everywhere will see flooding, of course, however where it does occur the waters may be particularly fast flowing, as this rain is largely affecting those upland areas. And in comparison, western areas will be relatively dry. Do stay safe, and keep an eye on the Met Office warnings as well as our risk maps.