Category: Uncategorized

  • Heat warning: 36-38C possible on Thursday!

    Earlier today the Met Office posted this graphic, suggesting temperatures of 37C in the south east of England by Thursday, with temperatures into the 30s widely. That level of heat is rather exceptional in this country, some 14C above average in the south east. Most computer models are suggesting temperatures of at least 34C are…

  • Severe thunderstorms possible in parts of the UK tomorrow night

    Another fine and hot day across the UK tomorrow, with the warmth more widespread. Temperatures are likely to reach 30C, 86F for parts of central and south east England, with 24 to 28C more widespread. Even Scotland and Northern Ireland will be feeling warmer tomorrow at 21 to 24C, with some sunshine. By Tuesday night…

  • The confidence equation (Beta)

    – Please note that this is a logarithmic scale, ie it is does not indicate the exact risk of an event, and can only be used for severe weather. – If the confidence equation is between 90 and 100, the condition has maximum confidence. – Between 75 and 90, the condition has high confidence. –…

  • Maxima of 36C possible from next week’s heatwave

    A very warm week of weather is ahead for many parts of the British Isles – however more especially in the south east. Here is where concerns are growing over the potential for some very hot weather, unusually so. The culprit is, unsurprisingly, a widespread heatwave which will be engulfing much of western Europe next…

  • El Scorchio – Heat wave forecast to reach the UK next week

    Following somewhat of a lul of any particularly interesting weather since the very end of June, when temperatures reached 34C in Heathrow and Northolt on the 30th of June, things are picking up again. The GFS and ECM weather models (used for weather forecasting) and others are consistently forecasting a spike of heat next week…

  • Flying ants mistaken for rainfall on UK Weather technology

    There have been so many flying ants across the UK recently that they are now showing up on the rainfall radars! As you can see below (Credit: Netweather) patches of light blue, indicating the lightest rainfall possible on the scale, has been recorded in parts of South East England, interesting here is where flying ant…