Category Archives: Winter snow warnings

Snow and Severe Ice will bring UK travel Chaos tomorrow




A rather rare and dangerous phenomenon known as freezing rain is likely to bring treacherous travelling conditions across the northern half of the UK tomorrow. This occurs when rain, from the Atlantic, meets cold ground temperatures as a result of a cold spell across the UK. The rain instantly freezes upon contact and can cause some challenging driving and travelling conditions with a layer of sheet ice forming. Quite rare for the UK – however it has the potential for some serious impacts. Our Weather Warning Interactive map below can be used to access the forecast for different areas. 

UK Weather Alert. Access your region with our UK WARNING map.

It’s across the north midlands, northern England and Scotland where the risk of ice and / or snow exists. Snow will be en large be restricted to the higher parts of the central and northern Pennines, however near the borders of Scotland and into southern and Central Scotland itself could fall as snow to fairly low levels (100 metres / 300 feet). Some 20cm (8 in) could falls on the high ground here. For lower levels in northern England, and the North Midlands, yes there could perhaps be a little bit of snow, but it will be washed away by rain, even on high ground later. And here is where the risk is. This rain, coming onto contact with frozen grounds, will freeze quickly and on untreated roads, pavements etc could form a bit of an ice rink through tomorrow afternoon. So travel and outdoor plans need to be revised, especially if they involve rural or upland areas that will be colder and more susceptible to this “dangerous” phenomenon.




For the rest of the UK, a lovely day. Joking. Heavy spells of rain for many other areas with strong if not gale force southerly winds, adding to the travel misery. In fact northern areas that have the freezing rain and snow will also experience these strong winds, just making it even more pleasant. Oh Summer 2018, where did you go?

Rare “Ice Rain” and Snow to bring UK Travel Chaos tomorrow




A rather rare and dangerous phenomenon known as freezing rain is likely to bring treacherous travelling conditions across the northern half of the UK tomorrow. This occurs when rain, from the Atlantic, meets cold ground temperatures as a result of a cold spell across the UK. The rain instantly freezes upon contact and can cause some challenging driving and travelling conditions with a layer of sheet ice forming. Quite rare for the UK – however it has the potential for some serious impacts. Our Weather Warning Interactive map below can be used to access the forecast for different areas. 

UK Weather Alert. Access your region with our UK WARNING map.

It’s across the north midlands, northern England and Scotland where the risk of ice and / or snow exists. Snow will be en large be restricted to the upland areas of the central and northern Pennines, however near the borders of Scotland and into southern and Central Scotland itself could fall as snow to fairly low levels (100 metres / 300 feet). Some 20cm (8 in) could falls on the high ground here. For lower levels in northern England, and the North Midlands, yes there could perhaps be a little bit of snow, but it will be washed away by rain, even on high ground later. And here is where the risk is. This rain, coming onto contact with frozen grounds, will freeze quickly and on untreated roads, pavements etc could form a bit of an ice rink through tomorrow afternoon. So travel and outdoor plans need to be revised, especially if they involve rural or upland areas that will be colder and more susceptible to this “dangerous” phenomenon.




For the rest of the UK, a lovely day. Joking. Heavy spells of rain for many other areas with strong if not gale force southerly winds, adding to the travel misery. In fact northern areas that have the freezing rain and snow will also experience these strong winds, just making it even more pleasant. Oh Summer 2018, where did you go?

Winter Warning: Next Major Snow Storm Forecast







To begin with heavy rainfall, gusty winds are forecast for much of Texas on Friday. Some of this will turn into wet snow in the Texas panhandle into Saturday morning. Through Saturday rainfall will affect much of the state of Oklahoma however later on Saturday will turn to snow into the northern regions.

Heavy persistent snow will is forecast for northern Arkansas and southern Missouri on Saturday with accumulations of 2-8 inches. The system will race through Tennesse and Kentucky on Saturday night bringing lesser accumulations of 1-4 inches. As the system heads towards the east coast on Sunday it will gain intensity. Very heavy and persistent snowfall is then predicted for a large portion of inland North Carolina and southern western Virginia with snowfall totals of up to 16-20 inches possible on the upland regions of the Appalachian Mountains within North Carolina and Virginia on Sunday however snowfall totals of 4-6 inches may spread out into the far south of West Virginia and east of Kentucky/ Tennessee, and potentially the far north of South Carolina as well through Sunday.

Winds will be quite gusty although not severe, so there’s the potential for some blizzard-like conditions especially on the Appalachian Mountains on Sunday however gusty weather is forecast to occur throughout this snow-system. Some snow drifts are possible, of 2-3 feet, however drifts of 4-8 feet are possible in upland regions of western North Carolina and Virginia that are most at risk from this storm.

Another issue will be heavy rain. There will be a lot of heavy rain in Texas on Saturday, rainfall rates of 6-8″ per hour are possible early on in the day for central areas as far south as Houston. Those rains are forecast to affect Louisiana later on Saturday. They will scour the Gulf Coast later on Saturday night and into the early hours of Sunday giving heavy rains for the Florida panhandle and southern Alabama regions. Some thunderstorms or even tornadic activity can’t be ruled out. Especially on Sunday throughout central and southern Florida, southern Georgia and maybe south Carolina.

The “good” news is that a much less cold pattern is on the way. Temperatures are currently widely below average across the USA however once this winter storm has cleared less cold are forecast to spread from much of central and western Canada that will have above average temperatures from this weekend. Into next week those higher temperatures will become more nationwide. Much of the Mid West and Great Lakes will see a thaw and rise in temperatures through next week.




Second Winter Storm with Snow Sunday night Through Wednesday




Forecast detail:

Intense cold is with us right now across many portions of the North and East United States and eastern Canada with temperatures some 10-20F below average, whereas further west temperatures are not as cold into the West, and central and western Canada. This is thanks to an El Nino pattern, which has been predicted for Winter 2018-2019. You can find more about our winter 2018-19 weather forecast right here. One more cold day is forecast for the NE tomorrow before a switch to less cold conditions this weekend. Heavy rain will affect much of the Mid West and Mid Atlantic on Saturday before affecting the North East Saturday evening into Sunday. Behind it clearer weather but temperatures will quickly drop off into Monday.

Early Winter Storm Watch:

Winter storm warning usa update 1 potential winter snow storm forecast 1

This is where we have the potential for a winter storm. There is still significant uncertainty regarding the forecast, so check back with local providers and us in the coming few days. However there is good agreement within the computer model output that some sort of “Snow/Rain storm” could affect the Mid West, North East, Ontario and Quebec on Sunday night, into Monday AM in the Mid West, and Monday through Tuesday in the North East and into Eastern Canada. It is unclear as to which areas will be worst affected, and where the Snow/Rain border will be, however there could be some negative impacts and hazardous conditions in the areas highlighted below. As there are still a few days between now and the forecast system, there could be changes to this in the next few days.




Although this system is more likely to fall as rain on coastal counties as well as I95 cities, in land there could be some significant snowfall, especially north west of Albany, and later on Monday night through Tuesday and through Wednesday morning, there could be some heavy lake effect snow showers for the great lakes, these could give 6-10 inches of accumulation in localized parts of say Michigan. Stay safe!




U.S. Braced for Significant Winter Storm in the Next 48 Hours




Through tonight snowfall will intensify over the far north of New Mexico, far north of Texas, and through Monday wet, moderate snowfall of 0.25-0.50″ per hour will affect the far north of Texas, much of Oklahoma, and eventually southern Missouri through Monday evening. 

The most significant snow will be in the next 12-18 hours across the Texas panhandle, central and north western Oklahoma state and north west Missouri. As the precipitation associated with this storm heads north west into Illinois, Indiana and Ohio this evening it will loose intensity and as a result produce more of a wintry mix of rain, sleet and light wet snow. That mix will continue into north west Pennsylvania and upstate NY early Tuesday, with sleet below 350-400m altitude, some snow yes, but the more significant snow restricted to higher ground and in land areas. As the storm progresses into northern Maine, north west Vermont and New Hampshire, some significant snowfall is likely to lower levels.

Overnight into Tuesday very heavy rain will affect the south east and Mid Atlantic with a risk of flooding through Alabama, Georgia and into the Carolinas. Meanwhile snowfall will affect areas above 200m elevation for the far south of Illinois, southern Indiana and much of Ohio, by Monday evening 2-4″ will have fallen widely here in higher elevations. More wet snow / sleet below 200m/600ft. The system will begin to move quite quicky up the eastern side of the U.S through Tuesday, giving further very heavy rainfalls to Southern Virginia and Southern Maryland. By Tuesday afternoon the snow will have tracked up Lake Erie, North West PA, Upstate NY and into northern Maine, Quebec Canada. Here up to 8″ of snow is possible above 300m (1000ft) elevation. The storm will pass into North East Quebec and Newfoundland late Tuesday, allowing for a shot of very cold air into the mid west and great lakes.




Check out these forecast temperatures for Tuesday (Credit: THEWEATHERCHANNEL):

Tuesday will be the height of the cold snap across much of the USA, but it will be cold next weekend (17th/18th) as well.

On Tuesday more significant lake effect snow will also be present, for similar areas that will be affected today. Generally 1-3″ will fall, but some places may receive over 12″, in rather localized areas, like we saw today. MILDER on Thursday the 15th before more cold air floods south through Manitoba, Ontario and into the Mid West Friday, to affect the north east and lakes through the weekend.

“FRIGID COLD” into November: Polar Vortex to drop Bitter Cold Next Week




 

So far this Autumn temperatures have been milder than average. Temperatures are up to 2 to 6 ‘F higher than you would usually expect right now for much of the states, especially around the lakes and the north east, and the west. However there are some signs that temperatures will take a significant, sharp plunge next week, especially around the lakes, Minnesota, the Dakotas and into Ontario, with many computer models predicting a wave of intense cold to flood the north and east of the states, especially around the great lakes, from around the 6th of November.

There is some uncertainty, and it looks like the cold wont make it that far south and east, potentially stopping and lake Erie, keeping the east coast relatively mild. It’s too early to start forecasting snow events and the like, however there are solid signs of the potential for prolonged heavy snow for the northern lakes, Ontario next week Nov. 7th and Nov 8th.

Frigid snow blast predicted forecast U.S. of snow ahead

The ECMWF weather model (European model) is also predicting a big dive in temperature. Take a look at the current temperatures for the 31st of October 2018, today, and compare them to on the 9th of November.

Current temperatures at 5,000ft above the surface:

Predicted temperatures from the ECMWF weather model for the 9th of November 2018:

As you can see, a significant dive in temperature. There would be a high risk of snow to, some significant lake effect snow would be possible as well as winter storms and snow storms / systems. The data you should be aware of or “pencil into your diary” is from around the 6th of November, for a rapid cool down across many north eastern areas. The North West would be a little less cold and drier under the influence of high pressure. However I think we should keep a close eye on the snow forecast for later next week for northern states of the U.S.